futureisyours
0x2fe1c0ce9e968e98d6fe44c601ddd268627ab7e5
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.0kat 0.631Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$1.5kat 0.690Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.610Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$769.00at 0.206Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
- +$480.91at 0.510Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 23:38 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.5k |
| 12-29 23:37 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.6k |
| 12-29 23:37 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.6k |
| 11-28 20:59 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.1k |
| 11-01 20:46 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5513513428 | $17.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:13 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 20:13 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 20:06 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8773507764 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 20:05 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999745 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 20:05 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.839506168 | $160.00 |
| 10-31 15:27 | Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30? | BUY | 0.5830323145 | $130.00 |
| 10-31 15:27 | Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? | BUY | 0.5654799295 | $700.00 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Andrew Cuomo drop out? | BUY | 0.0183699465 | $300.00 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | BUY | 0.0288358385 | $300.00 |