PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

futureisyours

0x2fe1c0ce9e968e98d6fe44c601ddd268627ab7e5

Realised P&L
$-14.7k
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$17.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1090.135$9.0k+$1.7k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0690.090$8.6k+$2.0k
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? · No0.1160.000$0.00$400.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · No0.1630.000$0.00$2.8k
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$299.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0180.000$0.00$3.4k
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? · Yes0.5870.000$0.00$1.7k
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$2.0k
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$9.6k
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$200.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$850.00
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7? · No0.1480.000$0.00$1.6k
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? · No0.5310.000$0.00$6.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-29 23:38Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.86$2.5k
12-29 23:37Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.86$2.6k
12-29 23:37Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.86$2.6k
11-28 20:59Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.69$6.1k
11-01 20:46XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5513513428$17.00
11-01 20:14XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5$10.00
11-01 20:13XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5$25.00
11-01 20:13XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5$50.00
11-01 20:06XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.8773507764$2.00
11-01 20:05XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.8499999745$15.00
11-01 20:05XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.839506168$160.00
10-31 15:27Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?BUY0.5830323145$130.00
10-31 15:27Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?BUY0.5654799295$700.00
10-31 15:14Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?BUY0.0183699465$300.00
10-31 15:14Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?BUY0.0288358385$300.00