PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x2fdb5df2a326fdfad9ebd030cafe72359da88ffc

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$348.8k
Markets traded
2,159
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,159
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · Yes0.6100.975$1.1k+$415.20
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · No0.8460.987$355.44+$50.77
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8390.992$88.80+$13.66
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6920.975$34.66+$10.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 11:08Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999994$32.33
10-20 11:08Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999996$46.96
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999969$6.35
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999984$5.88
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.969999997$6.46
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.97$6.69
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999975$7.74
10-20 10:58Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.969999997$6.46
10-20 10:48Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.610472542$695.33
10-20 10:48Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.8455848862$304.67
10-20 10:48Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9505285324$198.38
10-20 10:48Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999994$32.33
10-20 10:48Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.8653045685$109.10
10-20 10:48Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.7147229936$292.10
10-20 10:48Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9699999998$85.77