Outsider69
0x2fd08dbf3ef04d16c7de743f407abb69322ae582
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $56.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.735 | $2.2k | +$318.63 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.185 | $1.3k | −$1.2k |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$482.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.02at 0.731Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$-634.97at 0.256Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$-805.07at 0.287Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$-2.3kat 0.204Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:01 | Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9549484666 | $211.44 |
| 09-03 15:24 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3632804979 | $118.49 |
| 08-23 19:09 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $160.62 |
| 08-21 22:03 | Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.60 |
| 08-08 11:59 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3563065388 | $771.76 |
| 11-28 21:03 | Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0270290159 | $347.21 |
| 11-28 20:59 | Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0201418665 | $60.77 |
| 11-28 20:56 | Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2869943916 | $865.84 |
| 11-28 19:09 | Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $300.00 |
| 11-28 18:33 | Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.89 |
| 11-28 18:31 | Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2399999993 | $245.00 |
| 11-28 18:10 | Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2496904089 | $1.0k |
| 11-28 17:28 | Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2756215213 | $18.57 |
| 11-28 17:19 | Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0058760049 | $14.90 |
| 11-27 08:57 | Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2714804955 | $199.87 |