loquis78
0x2fce9ffd00f6d84dce29fdf3f383323d2d8302da
- Realised P&L
- $-64.32
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $4.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.495 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.275 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Racing Club Avellaneda vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.491 | 0.382 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.045 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.26at 0.473Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?
- +$9.50at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?
- +$7.98at 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.75at 0.550Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?
- +$4.93at 0.503Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:06 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:06 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:05 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:53 | Will Racing Club Avellaneda vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:53 | Will Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 12:38 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 12:38 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:51 | Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:53 | Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:53 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:37 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 13:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |