intish20
0x2fcd69fb03e5db6064a569f8dcfdcf826a2c33a4
- Realised P&L
- $-12.77
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 1? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.84 | −$4.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.90at 0.085Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$-0.71at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:26 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.44 |
| 09-30 18:23 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:18 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:17 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1157854066 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:17 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:16 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2740172713 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 18:13 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2670306116 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:08 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.1904 | $11.90 |
| 09-30 18:07 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.002986947 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0830756431 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0036342712 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0022871519 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |