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0x2fcace1fb77a41959c9f18f9e4d43e3aeb5b9e32
- Realised P&L
- $1.22
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $6.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.82at 0.550Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Riders
- +$0.42at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$0.33at 0.750Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
- +$0.28at 0.780Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:45 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 06-12 08:41 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:11 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 12:21 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 14:41 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 14:40 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.84 |
| 12-29 14:34 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:05 | Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVD | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:00 | Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates? | SELL | 0.949 | $0.98 |
| 09-23 13:16 | Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:57 | Boxing - Darren Till vs. Luke Rockhold | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:50 | Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:48 | Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.07 |
| 06-28 00:48 | Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |