PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2fc87d07e9a9f616656094f0e943bf42fdc1b2de

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar25.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:36Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)BUY0.4764794599$219.20
09-21 07:35Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$200.00
09-20 11:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$43.02
09-20 11:02Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.7599999986$288.77
09-19 21:16Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$9.80
09-19 14:21Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0338708433$28.19
09-19 13:57Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.11$58.77
09-19 13:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$119.99
09-19 11:02Will Netanyahu say "Violence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.4534521509$250.00
09-19 10:54Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999999$200.00
09-19 09:48Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.3215283843$220.89
09-19 09:48Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.1116926384$51.97
09-19 07:52Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5034692108$29.03
09-19 07:00Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.94$5.7k
09-18 16:51Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.5$2.90