NBAtradoor
0x2fc70b2f704de7ceb2b985819798a2ff73f37fba
- Realised P&L
- $545.35
- Volume
- $141.1k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $236.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.355 | $134.45 | +$35.35 |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.021 | $49.60 | −$25.40 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.217 | $36.24 | +$6.24 |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.022 | $15.48 | +$10.48 |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.75 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| 76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$550.93at 0.019Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$339.95at 0.028Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?
- +$322.70at 0.031Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?
- +$252.16at 0.051Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?
- +$245.47at 0.095Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:00 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:40 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Knicks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Knicks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 01:52 | 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 02:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.57 | $71.96 |
| 10-27 22:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.46 | $85.91 |
| 10-27 02:09 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.021 | $50.81 |
| 10-27 01:20 | Wizards vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.016021714 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 22:22 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0363897155 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 21:33 | Will Thibaut Courtois win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award? | BUY | 0.0084539429 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 15:32 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0617108227 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 14:19 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0644374609 | $10.00 |