PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1F01C059E8449301A9EF5D9ec16e8659520645Dc-1758373365219

0x2fadb352cf75ce18d8c7818d30f59821dda89d04

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$163.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:11Will Mary Brascia / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.3$15.00
09-14 18:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.0420487062$22.10
09-14 18:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.0516614126$51.52
09-14 17:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.057$57.00
09-14 17:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.048$9.83
09-14 17:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.05$100.00
09-14 17:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.044982462$224.91
09-14 00:01Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.44$31.82
09-12 14:37Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.39$50.74
09-12 01:56Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?SELL0.4957142857$34.70
09-12 01:56Will Colorado State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.3549193548$44.01
09-12 01:55Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.055256476$6.46
09-10 19:03Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.101$6.06
09-10 19:03Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.0995051954$12.07
09-10 19:02Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?SELL0.18$3.73