juiceb
0x2fa7d4b0fd7503d7c3006fa7cea011e85d6a4850
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $47.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.170 | $47.60 | −$47.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.975Will inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November?
- +$0.67at 0.903Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
- +$-0.06at 0.998Will Jamie Bynoe-Gittens be the top Champions League scorer?
- +$-0.11at 0.999Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
- +$-3.12at 0.708Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 02:31 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $16.32 |
| 06-16 02:19 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $21.08 |
| 06-16 02:12 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $26.52 |
| 03-27 06:12 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.736 | $9.7k |
| 03-27 02:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.773 | $10.2k |
| 01-08 07:15 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.707 | $2.2k |
| 01-07 07:28 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.708 | $2.2k |
| 01-07 03:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.2k |
| 01-06 09:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.7k |
| 10-15 08:12 | 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 04-24 08:56 | Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | SELL | 0.9737457983 | $9.27 |
| 03-18 07:49 | Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.9029999345 | $8.60 |
| 03-17 06:45 | Will Jamie Bynoe-Gittens be the top Champions League scorer? | SELL | 0.997 | $63.24 |
| 03-17 06:44 | Will Jamie Bynoe-Gittens be the top Champions League scorer? | BUY | 0.998 | $63.31 |
| 12-11 02:50 | Will inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November? | BUY | 0.975 | $60.00 |