Thelastseller
0x2f9e690324fac3c506b2cfe250aa2ffff5a64dae
- Realised P&L
- $7.89
- Volume
- $266.26
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $61.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$2.44at 0.996Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$0.26at 0.950Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
- +$0.20at 0.980Iran leadership change by July 31?
- +$0.13at 0.965Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:08 | Tread FDV above $5M one day after launch | BUY | 0.993 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 13:00 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 12:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.03 |
| 08-26 21:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9959999804 | $12.00 |
| 08-26 15:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-23 00:44 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 00:41 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 08-23 00:41 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-23 00:24 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 08-23 00:23 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 08-23 00:17 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-23 00:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-23 00:08 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 08-15 01:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |