cchk519
0x2f93b47be80dc3dc3a96503114d9411eae5d83d0
- Realised P&L
- $-69.99
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.465 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.305 | $0.97 | −$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Braga: Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut · Oleksii Krutykh | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.25at 0.156Bucks vs. Thunder
- +$4.72at 0.914Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet
- +$3.43at 0.472Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier
- +$2.35at 0.971China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
- +$2.23at 0.402New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $3.11 |
| 10-08 16:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $2.66 |
| 10-08 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.0940056022 | $1.01 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.30 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.42 |
| 10-08 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.57 |
| 10-08 16:02 | Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton | SELL | 0.58 | $0.84 |
| 10-08 15:55 | Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton | SELL | 0.35 | $14.58 |
| 10-08 15:53 | Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 15:51 | Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton | SELL | 0.37 | $37.47 |