PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cchk519

0x2f93b47be80dc3dc3a96503114d9411eae5d83d0

Realised P&L
$-69.99
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$2.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.4100.465$1.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? · Yes0.4700.305$0.97−$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Braga: Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut · Oleksii Krutykh0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-08 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
10-08 16:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSELL0.81$3.11
10-08 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-08 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.72$2.66
10-08 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 16:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?SELL0.0940056022$1.01
10-08 16:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?SELL0.4$1.30
10-08 16:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.36$1.42
10-08 16:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?SELL0.42$1.57
10-08 16:02Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek BartonSELL0.58$0.84
10-08 15:55Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek BartonSELL0.35$14.58
10-08 15:53Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek BartonBUY0.579999994$25.00
10-08 15:51Villena: Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek BartonSELL0.37$37.47