Binarap
0x2f937ed09efc3cfb4ffdbe927a1a6019876a7fa6
- Realised P&L
- $-83.74
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $206.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.14at 0.910US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.69at 0.974Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.23at 0.918Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$0.23at 0.978Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.14at 0.985Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:05 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.969 | $101.74 |
| 09-26 15:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.04 |
| 09-01 11:06 | Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9321638155 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 01:11 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:06 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9592478804 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 13:39 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999174 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 23:03 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 16:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $100.22 |
| 08-23 01:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.9849999256 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 01:03 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.04 |
| 08-21 13:35 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $40.00 |
| 08-21 09:07 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 09:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $60.00 |
| 08-21 01:00 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 17:29 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.996 | $71.13 |