0x2f88bb53e3063f49a3e2776fdd10ea891a30dfd3
0x2f88bb53e3063f49a3e2776fdd10ea891a30dfd3
- Realised P&L
- $-948.26
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $163.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.022 | $158.95 | −$391.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.001 | $4.21 | −$215.78 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.276Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0778567605 | $550.00 |
| 10-13 04:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0260974636 | $220.00 |
| 10-13 01:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1277623989 | $200.00 |
| 10-12 23:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2048771419 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 23:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1374657534 | $60.21 |
| 10-12 23:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1799322608 | $1.0k |
| 10-12 23:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.6402370883 | $2.2k |
| 10-12 16:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.4217294864 | $153.62 |
| 10-12 16:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2325581395 | $700.00 |
| 10-11 22:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.0635725172 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1 | $32.00 |
| 10-09 12:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1695290852 | $18.00 |
| 10-09 11:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 20:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1350533806 | $44.00 |