Ashurnasirpal
0x2f7e1730cf40ff92e95a3c43323a3fe95fabd49b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $901.7k
- Markets traded
- 842
- Open portfolio
- $776.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded842
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.676Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.471Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.719Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.401Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.590Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3399999619 | $1.25 |
| 10-03 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3599999649 | $2.87 |
| 10-03 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3599999756 | $4.72 |
| 10-03 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3499999915 | $2.05 |
| 10-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2899999979 | $2.82 |
| 10-03 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4499999728 | $3.31 |
| 10-03 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3398064308 | $1.58 |
| 10-03 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.05 |
| 10-03 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.759999971 | $3.15 |
| 10-03 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.94 |
| 10-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.6999999823 | $7.92 |
| 10-03 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.70 |
| 10-03 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3599999801 | $2.90 |
| 10-03 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.3599999694 | $1.41 |
| 10-03 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.7199999225 | $5.20 |