PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

darrellmartin

0x2f78ac9fc054c013b9c32e179e8c1804c5ce287c

Realised P&L
$-24.56
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$135.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026? · No0.6910.856$63.56+$12.24
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · No0.7100.665$30.52−$2.07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · No0.6400.951$17.24+$5.63
Spread: Panthers (-2.5) · Panthers0.5300.525$13.20−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26? · Yes0.6100.520$11.41−$1.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:56Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?BUY0.999$6.87
01-30 16:33Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?BUY0.9929999993$5.46
01-30 15:31Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$5.95
01-30 11:59Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$25.03
01-30 11:52Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$60.76
12-30 11:20Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$14.03
12-30 01:22Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?BUY0.998$5.36
12-30 01:08Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.9979999934$16.69
12-29 23:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999685$25.28
12-29 21:44Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?BUY0.9979999904$43.31
10-30 18:26Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$25.71
10-30 18:26Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$35.08
09-29 13:51Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?BUY0.9989999601$11.53
09-29 05:57Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$12.03
09-29 03:28Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.997$17.32