PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jivado

0x2f75fced0c3928f6ff2c1369a5275dbcd04851a0

Realised P&L
$-625.00
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$297.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1890.045$237.60−$762.40
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? · Yes0.2160.300$60.00+$16.74
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on August 28? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$175.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on August 12? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$28.25
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23? · Up0.0290.000$0.00−$7.25
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on August 5? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$167.50
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on July 22? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00−$15.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 3? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$13.80
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 30? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on September 28? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$17.50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 3? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$100.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 28? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$71.00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on August 19? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$47.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 18:15S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.22$12.36
09-29 18:15S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.21$6.30
09-29 18:06S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.22$15.40
09-29 18:06S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.21$6.30
09-28 18:54S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 28?BUY0.127$12.70
09-28 17:40Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on September 28?BUY0.07$0.70
09-25 18:52Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 21 above $345?BUY0.81$16.21
09-23 18:41S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?BUY0.04$0.20
09-23 16:23Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 23?BUY0.4255161749$11.97
09-23 16:19NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23?BUY0.029$0.15
09-16 18:31S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 16?BUY0.17$5.10
09-16 15:28Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on September 16?BUY0.13$3.90
09-10 17:28S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10?BUY0.2455555556$22.10
09-09 18:55S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 9?BUY0.042$0.21
09-04 17:11S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 4?BUY0.63$37.80