jivado
0x2f75fced0c3928f6ff2c1369a5275dbcd04851a0
- Realised P&L
- $-625.00
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $297.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.42at 0.206Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on July 31?
- +$150.00at 0.400Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of July?
- +$106.14at 0.655Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$82.83at 0.172S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 16?
- +$78.99at 0.210S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.22 | $12.36 |
| 09-29 18:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 09-29 18:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.22 | $15.40 |
| 09-29 18:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 09-28 18:54 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 28? | BUY | 0.127 | $12.70 |
| 09-28 17:40 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on September 28? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-25 18:52 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 21 above $345? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.21 |
| 09-23 18:41 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-23 16:23 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4255161749 | $11.97 |
| 09-23 16:19 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.15 |
| 09-16 18:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 16? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 09-16 15:28 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on September 16? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 09-10 17:28 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10? | BUY | 0.2455555556 | $22.10 |
| 09-09 18:55 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 9? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.21 |
| 09-04 17:11 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $37.80 |