lkhft
0x2f65d60ac7926529de6e9f192caf4d94408070b9
- Realised P&L
- $46.73
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $146.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.990 | $146.67 | +$8.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.07at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$48.93at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$38.92at 0.547Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$25.50at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$18.00at 0.820Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:08 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $137.78 |
| 10-09 00:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.993 | $137.36 |
| 09-27 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $135.80 |
| 09-15 11:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $122.06 |
| 09-14 02:33 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $72.75 |
| 09-14 02:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.871 | $43.83 |
| 09-09 06:44 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $116.65 |
| 09-08 04:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $96.04 |
| 09-08 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7674562531 | $15.53 |
| 08-14 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9778733315 | $109.16 |
| 07-27 13:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $50.81 |
| 07-23 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $55.95 |
| 07-21 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $55.45 |
| 07-19 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $16.44 |
| 07-19 12:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $3.55 |