PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2F6405e90f1A8B7EE9ba2951041c979Fdd119138-1761826529649

0x2f6405e90f1a8b7ee9ba2951041c979fdd119138

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$451.1k
Markets traded
615
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded615
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.175$1.1k−$1.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.125$986.62−$1.9k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3740.085$647.79−$2.2k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.039$42.90−$155.10
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1780.029$33.86−$177.89
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.012$1.12−$3.55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$13.21
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.7010.000$0.00−$490.49
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 09:19Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$585.00
08-23 05:13Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.169999998$57.23
08-23 05:13Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3749717563$300.00
08-23 05:11Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999997$800.00
08-19 15:08Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5018892941$853.21
08-19 15:06Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$1.5k
07-31 15:33Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999999$1000.00
07-25 12:48Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999997$500.00
07-16 11:18Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999994$342.64
07-08 09:15Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999991$200.00
07-08 09:14Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999996$500.00
07-07 22:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.187$398.57
07-06 21:29Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.73$73.00
07-06 21:21Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.75$27.74
07-06 21:06Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7358710204$100.00