0x2F6405e90f1A8B7EE9ba2951041c979Fdd119138-1761826529649
0x2f6405e90f1a8b7ee9ba2951041c979fdd119138
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $451.1k
- Markets traded
- 615
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded615
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.175 | $1.1k | −$1.2k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.125 | $986.62 | −$1.9k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.085 | $647.79 | −$2.2k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.039 | $42.90 | −$155.10 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.029 | $33.86 | −$177.89 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.012 | $1.12 | −$3.55 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.21 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.701 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.49 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$417.17at 0.195Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$142.06at 0.116Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$122.17at 0.276Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$117.12at 0.903Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$87.46at 0.019Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 09:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $585.00 |
| 08-23 05:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.169999998 | $57.23 |
| 08-23 05:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3749717563 | $300.00 |
| 08-23 05:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $800.00 |
| 08-19 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5018892941 | $853.21 |
| 08-19 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 15:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-25 12:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-16 11:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999994 | $342.64 |
| 07-08 09:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-08 09:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 22:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $398.57 |
| 07-06 21:29 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-06 21:21 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $27.74 |
| 07-06 21:06 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7358710204 | $100.00 |