AgentKingKong
0x2f60dd353a7b6d89eb454d0d74254d077d69445f
- Realised P&L
- $-104.82
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.030 | $9.15 | −$38.85 |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.80 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.50 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.33 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.97 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.88 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.66at 0.754Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?
- +$67.16at 0.305Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
- +$60.60at 0.350Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$50.75at 0.608Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$48.50at 0.677Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 19:20 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.25 | $112.50 |
| 01-22 19:27 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 01-22 19:26 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 01-22 19:25 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.27 |
| 01-22 19:17 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 01-22 19:14 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $17.10 |
| 12-10 09:16 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.07 |
| 12-10 09:16 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.63 |
| 11-28 15:52 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 11-28 15:27 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 11-28 14:21 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 11-28 14:09 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $14.69 |
| 11-28 08:55 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.59 |
| 11-27 20:09 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $14.33 |
| 11-27 20:03 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.036 | $8.28 |