PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2F5eC283291d0AF6d39241B6aE30B1FBA573e184-1771236801042

0x2f5ec283291d0af6d39241b6ae30b1fba573e184

Realised P&L
$-396.98
Volume
$144.8k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$176.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.105$55.26−$44.74
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.055$36.67−$63.33
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.015$28.41−$61.59
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1280.040$18.51−$41.49
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.017$15.06−$57.94
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.026$8.83−$41.17
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.007$7.50−$52.50
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.009$6.07−$43.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.1170.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.3540.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down0.1840.000$0.00−$7.06
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 20:32Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?BUY0.0909999906$8.00
06-25 20:30Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0491100977$90.00
06-25 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0400358246$111.76
06-17 15:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.001$8.00
06-17 15:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.001$8.00
06-17 15:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0360954318$15.88
06-17 09:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.002$23.00
06-17 09:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.002$22.00
06-17 09:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0286668067$47.78
06-08 13:08Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-08 13:07Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-08 13:06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.00
06-08 13:05Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$2.00
06-08 13:04Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$5.00
06-08 13:03Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$5.00