PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2F5eC283291d0AF6d39241B6aE30B1FBA573e184-1771236801042

0x2f5ec283291d0af6d39241b6ae30b1fba573e184

Realised P&L
$-610.00
Volume
$144.8k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$301.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1230.015$64.91$485.08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.095$50.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.025$46.55$43.45
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$43.33$56.67
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$22.36$50.64
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1280.045$21.08$38.92
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.021$20.50$39.50
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.021$15.29$34.71
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.030$10.17$39.83
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0310.011$7.32$12.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.1170.000$0.00$29.91
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$9.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 20:32Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?BUY0.0909999906$8.00
06-25 20:30Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0491100977$90.00
06-25 20:02Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0400358246$111.76
06-17 15:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.001$8.00
06-17 15:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.001$8.00
06-17 15:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0360954318$15.88
06-17 09:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.002$23.00
06-17 09:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.002$22.00
06-17 09:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0286668067$47.78
06-08 13:08Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-08 13:07Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-08 13:06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$1.00
06-08 13:05Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$2.00
06-08 13:04Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$5.00
06-08 13:03Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$5.00