0x2f5A2779D65a329dC739fB7aB4270094D6EBD4eb-1772550603429
0x2f5a2779d65a329dc739fb7ab4270094d6ebd4eb
- Realised P&L
- $71.10
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $9.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.025 | $6.55 | −$3.45 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Xtreme Gaming | 0.746 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$387.25at 0.277Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$198.27at 0.657Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
- +$115.99at 0.690Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$67.50at 0.640Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$39.40at 0.510Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:11 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.5223649314 | $185.54 |
| 10-27 20:58 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 20:58 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0063881217 | $7.05 |
| 10-27 20:56 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.591277766 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 20:41 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.34 | $204.57 |
| 10-26 01:26 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.293999993 | $8.00 |
| 10-26 01:26 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4154902683 | $250.00 |
| 10-26 01:25 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2959215728 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 01:22 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.273 | $17.97 |
| 10-26 01:22 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $61.50 |
| 10-26 01:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.73 | $498.22 |
| 10-25 22:22 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 10-24 13:48 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.61 |
| 10-22 22:19 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0565072564 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 22:18 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.04 |