0x2f547224DC01Fe49fc81edcf2Ee76e10faC5252C-1765179621924
0x2f547224dc01fe49fc81edcf2ee76e10fac5252c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $268.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,477
- Open portfolio
- $7.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,477
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.61at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$157.83at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$150.99at 0.374Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$136.81at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$135.91at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 10-04 06:31 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6969455045 | $182.63 |
| 10-04 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9820019646 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 02:02 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3100990099 | $1.57 |
| 10-03 23:14 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.62 |
| 10-02 16:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 11:12 | Will Australia A win? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.33 |
| 10-02 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.48 |
| 10-02 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.283 | $1.93 |
| 09-30 05:05 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.546 | $29.59 |
| 09-29 23:04 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.583 | $46.64 |
| 09-29 04:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.484 | $29.68 |
| 09-28 05:54 | XRP Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:43 | XRP Up or Down - September 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9019999242 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |