pagechuan
0x2f4fdb4090152df19887723c09b18edf9fc04eb4
- Realised P&L
- $179.12
- Volume
- $100.3k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $763.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? · No | 0.973 | 0.971 | $763.21 | −$1.56 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.96at 0.966Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
- +$53.87at 0.770Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
- +$46.84at 0.974Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$40.77at 0.963Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
- +$39.07at 0.961Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.974 | $570.76 |
| 09-21 09:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.958 | $27.78 |
| 09-16 05:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.985 | $985.00 |
| 09-09 14:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-02 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $172.66 |
| 07-29 13:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-26 14:36 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 07-26 14:23 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 07-26 12:07 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-25 15:01 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 07-25 14:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 07-18 15:11 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $45.43 |
| 07-18 14:59 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 07-12 03:07 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7725 | $7.72 |
| 07-11 12:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2475 | $2.48 |