Winerius
0x2f4beded4082ff033f1c0b7efbde9962220def55
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $133.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce · Eva Lys | 0.915 | 0.756 | $4.2k | −$889.97 |
| US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti · Lorenzo Musetti | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.7k |
| Slovenia vs. Greece · Slovenia | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$608.84at 0.944Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$313.12at 0.941Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$208.73at 0.975US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska
- +$165.72at 0.985Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Alexandra Panova vs Katrina Scott
- +$127.77at 0.975Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:02 | Slovenia vs. Greece | BUY | 0.989 | $33.00 |
| 09-14 13:21 | Slovenia vs. Greece | BUY | 0.9870082327 | $595.85 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce | BUY | 0.92 | $2.7k |
| 09-13 23:14 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce | BUY | 0.91 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 21:48 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.9949574804 | $11.7k |
| 09-13 21:45 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.7k |
| 09-13 16:56 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $718.21 |
| 09-13 14:38 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.989 | $5.0k |
| 09-13 07:24 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 09-12 20:51 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.5k |
| 09-12 17:05 | Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Alexandra Panova vs Katrina Scott | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-12 16:28 | Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Alexandra Panova vs Katrina Scott | BUY | 0.97 | $5.0k |
| 09-12 13:36 | Poland vs. Israel | BUY | 0.9962858518 | $113.87 |
| 09-12 01:18 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.951 | $310.00 |
| 09-12 01:14 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |