0x2f48C105a2002283311Caf7B04eD93a2e79F6f45-1773934436849
0x2f48c105a2002283311caf7b04ed93a2e79f6f45
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $122.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $74.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.26at 0.354Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
- +$102.97at 0.797Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$79.59at 0.669Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
- +$76.00at 0.240Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$75.98at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:44 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1569999993 | $186.16 |
| 07-07 10:37 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $139.98 |
| 07-06 08:44 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $94.56 |
| 07-05 15:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.11 |
| 07-05 15:49 | Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.069660066 | $6.33 |
| 07-05 15:49 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $14.03 |
| 06-23 19:42 | England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $13.40 |
| 06-17 11:31 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $500.00 |
| 05-29 13:31 | Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.2162537322 | $400.00 |
| 05-29 13:31 | Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.067518883 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 11:04 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.2554516188 | $179.57 |
| 05-25 11:02 | Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.3336510949 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 14:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4496697365 | $200.00 |
| 05-20 11:38 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2793410437 | $400.00 |
| 05-20 11:36 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999991 | $400.00 |