brbrrpatapim
0x2f2d2eca601911236b42ce6770e613a0536991f2
- Realised P&L
- $10.35
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $270.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.963 | $54.81 | +$0.74 |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.952 | $54.66 | −$0.80 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No | 0.976 | 0.977 | $53.77 | +$0.05 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No | 0.935 | 0.931 | $53.55 | −$0.23 |
| Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.959 | $53.55 | +$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.960Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$1.84at 0.962Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$1.08at 0.980Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
- +$0.85at 0.961Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.980Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.70 |
| 04-08 08:50 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $19.58 |