PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Pilatuspirat

0x2f2c62967d8d5d0e262da724c29aec2d91d5fa0f

Realised P&L
$-29.30
Volume
$456.46
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$78.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:39Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.4289999873$5.00
09-17 06:44Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
09-15 14:23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
09-14 07:06Will FC Lugano win the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?BUY0.3762935089$10.00
09-10 07:37Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-09 10:15Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-02 12:29Will FC Luzern win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.5599999776$10.00
09-02 12:15Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?BUY0.9399999774$10.00
09-02 12:11Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
08-12 13:02Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.8869999631$20.00
06-15 08:57Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.999$31.71
05-27 08:14Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
05-26 15:34Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.4$10.00
05-01 15:57Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.2$20.00
05-01 06:59Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.5189620716$10.00