PolyBot

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Traders

Kraken12

0x2f2be24a68a8ede74fc4ce53730c3ab50cbc650b

Realised P&L
$870.67
Volume
$128.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$22.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$22.50$7.49
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$40.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$40.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$17.85
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$40.00
Will Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$169.15
US forces in Venezuela by October 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$15.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$25.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$193.84
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$22.41
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$30.00
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$49.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 20:39Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$30.00
07-19 19:25Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.12$27.27
07-19 19:24Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0280533533$50.00
07-19 16:08Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999997$193.84
07-15 18:06Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$35.00
07-14 20:34Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?BUY0.0989999966$25.00
07-14 20:23Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?BUY0.1439999989$100.00
07-14 20:21Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?SELL0.09$136.11
07-14 20:16Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0652918943$98.74
07-14 19:46France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?BUY0.08$49.60
07-11 21:37Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?BUY0.0263992569$50.00
07-10 20:58Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.0362012783$40.00
07-07 20:29Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?BUY0.089999998$40.00
07-07 17:36Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
07-07 17:36Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.05$50.00