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Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alphaalii

0x2f28c1d2d8c0aee287e9c05a0603274ff533ba03

Realised P&L
$43.8k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$135.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5040.556$48.3k+$4.6k
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4150.790$35.4k+$16.8k
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.193$16.1k−$598.48
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6250.934$13.0k+$4.3k
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.2650.247$11.0k−$803.10
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.936$8.6k+$3.0k
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0450.044$1.8k−$49.24
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0840.065$1.3k−$395.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 00:40Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.05$1.00
10-29 15:16Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.8$43.80
10-29 12:55Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.9635163956$3.7k
10-29 10:01Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.963$664.47
10-29 09:12Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.9651221208$2.2k
10-29 09:12Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.967$2.0k
10-29 07:02Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.961076639$1.0k
10-29 05:05Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.964$93.51
10-29 04:39Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.9672424242$1.3k
10-29 03:17Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.9306383098$2.3k
10-29 02:59Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.9342021039$4.6k
10-29 02:57Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.9546689433$4.1k
10-29 02:25Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7018261079$1.2k
10-29 00:03Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.0494836983$91.05
10-28 10:36Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.4199117647$142.77