0x2f2687c778addeb62bab208061ae45d7d9d394a1
0x2f2687c778addeb62bab208061ae45d7d9d394a1
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $379.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $966.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $485.98 | −$13.88 |
| Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $480.75 | −$19.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.264Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$2.3kat 0.286Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$1.7kat 0.306Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$1.6kat 0.629Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$918.40at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:17 | Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $499.86 |
| 09-29 04:18 | Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.13 | $499.98 |
| 09-28 11:43 | Will Japan vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | SELL | 0.37 | $216.45 |
| 09-28 07:17 | Will Japan vs. Venezuela end in a draw? | BUY | 0.14 | $499.75 |
| 09-27 20:19 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $48.00 |
| 09-27 19:30 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $48.00 |
| 09-27 08:23 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $96.00 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will Liverpool LFC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2661944444 | $95.83 |
| 09-26 17:34 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.05 | $47.75 |
| 09-26 16:35 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.6727460106 | $1.2k |
| 09-26 10:11 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099999999 | $348.00 |
| 09-26 08:12 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $800.00 |
| 09-25 20:17 | Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0629114633 | $22.47 |
| 09-25 07:29 | Will Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 07:29 | Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $100.00 |