invincibles
0x2f20901ec39f90a06bc0c5393604a804d0b8ace1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $359.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.47at 0.803Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$90.79at 0.052Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$75.68at 0.140Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
- +$74.61at 0.151Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$68.54at 0.681Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:29 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | SELL | 0.164 | $8.20 |
| 10-21 20:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.1338845822 | $116.00 |
| 10-20 19:04 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.1069999988 | $8.00 |
| 10-19 18:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.0774554579 | $29.00 |
| 10-19 17:39 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.0759999999 | $8.00 |
| 10-19 17:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.0523315247 | $9.00 |
| 10-17 01:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.0566823921 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:27 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | SELL | 0.901 | $22.14 |
| 03-31 15:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.364 | $7.26 |
| 03-30 16:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.016 | $6.89 |
| 03-30 16:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.301 | $8.00 |
| 03-09 00:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 03-09 00:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8499999974 | $200.00 |
| 03-09 00:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6967510494 | $300.00 |
| 03-09 00:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8403499545 | $479.31 |