0x7f7f
0x2f1e2cfcfc7c32d22d5d7eb422474c7303fdcf5f
- Realised P&L
- $511.42
- Volume
- $66.4k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.175 | $477.36 | −$63.97 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.215 | $430.00 | −$70.00 |
| MLB 2026: World Series Winning League · National League | 0.660 | 0.670 | $173.81 | +$2.59 |
| Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$340.95at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$268.62at 0.154Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$217.60at 0.237Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$179.53at 0.600Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.973 | $389.20 |
| 10-12 22:56 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.65 | $175.68 |
| 10-12 22:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 15:36 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.319 | $0.14 |
| 10-12 15:34 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.3206080336 | $534.77 |
| 10-06 13:53 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.199 | $528.94 |
| 10-06 13:28 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.2683108729 | $17.52 |
| 10-06 00:07 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5378128931 | $150.00 |
| 07-29 15:02 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-29 11:04 | Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.11 |
| 07-29 10:40 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 07-29 09:28 | Will Trump say "Gaza" in August? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 09:08 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.26 |
| 07-29 08:14 | Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.55 |
| 07-28 22:45 | Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.78 |