Hedde
0x2f1cc75519309c8a10f5cfbd481553b06b8d892d
- Realised P&L
- $-398.91
- Volume
- $36.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $93.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.052 | $53.14 | −$221.86 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $40.02 | −$109.96 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · No | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.16at 0.510Sperm Race: Jonathan Stanley vs Luke Beasley
- +$44.79at 0.835Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$43.32at 0.800Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$41.39at 0.913Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$25.00at 0.631Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:51 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.25 | $75.00 |
| 09-11 15:18 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2770416109 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.2693309908 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 08:22 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0029999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 06:47 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1979146484 | $187.55 |
| 08-11 11:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1055282399 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 11:49 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $336.78 |
| 08-11 11:49 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $249.29 |
| 01-17 20:53 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999991 | $142.00 |
| 01-08 16:31 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999967 | $150.00 |
| 12-11 10:57 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0099856153 | $100.00 |
| 12-05 10:27 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.0253665466 | $5.00 |
| 12-05 10:27 | Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 12-01 10:55 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.0337248056 | $20.00 |
| 12-01 10:54 | Congressional term limits in 2025? | SELL | 0.9766480501 | $162.28 |