PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hedde

0x2f1cc75519309c8a10f5cfbd481553b06b8d892d

Realised P&L
$-398.91
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$93.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2690.052$53.14$221.86
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$40.02$109.96
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · No0.2690.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 19:51Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.25$75.00
09-11 15:18Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2770416109$200.00
09-09 19:52Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.2693309908$100.00
09-03 08:22Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0029999999$50.00
09-03 06:47Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1979146484$187.55
08-11 11:50Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1055282399$100.00
08-11 11:49Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.963$336.78
08-11 11:49Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.97$249.29
01-17 20:53Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.8099999991$142.00
01-08 16:31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.8599999967$150.00
12-11 10:57Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0099856153$100.00
12-05 10:27Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.0253665466$5.00
12-05 10:27Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.06$15.00
12-01 10:55Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.0337248056$20.00
12-01 10:54Congressional term limits in 2025? SELL0.9766480501$162.28