nowaydd
0x2f1573d2ca23a64bf50069ccd1ff260111148fbe
- Realised P&L
- $10.83
- Volume
- $77.2k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $106.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $55.00 | +$0.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.580 | $14.50 | +$4.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,000 | 0.890 | 0.700 | $10.50 | −$2.85 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.650 | $9.75 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.615 | $9.22 | −$1.72 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.300 | $7.50 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.82at 0.667Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.85at 0.680Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$3.74at 0.610Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.43at 0.006Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.68at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 09:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 09-27 09:36 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 09-27 09:35 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-27 09:35 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 09-27 09:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 05-20 15:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.98 |
| 05-20 15:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 05-20 15:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.85 |
| 05-20 15:55 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 05-20 15:52 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-29 13:06 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 04-29 13:06 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 04-29 13:05 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 04-29 13:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-29 13:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |