ksleoperez
0x2f123ad12d8d7f90b9bbfc26cc58fae2bd26a56a
- Realised P&L
- $-240.34
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $9.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.575 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: CA Bucaramanga (-1.5) · CA Bucaramanga | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.241 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-07-30? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.85at 0.289Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$85.19at 0.107Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$74.76at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$64.13at 0.186Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$52.80at 0.657Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:47 | Spread: CA Bucaramanga (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 18:27 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 17:06 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 11:59 | CA Bucaramanga vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 16:58 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 13:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2409999746 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:17 | Will Millonarios FC vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:14 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:09 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 17:09 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 17:03 | Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:02 | CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:02 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:01 | New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 14:04 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |