randomizer88
0x2f092f41ac754e6ca443755ae2d792fe3078d1d6
- Realised P&L
- $202.95
- Volume
- $232.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $203.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.74at 0.790Maduro out in 2025?
- +$180.90at 0.430Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$127.73at 0.842Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
- +$109.63at 0.957Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
- +$96.81at 0.884Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-02 23:20 | Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? | BUY | 0.3893427065 | $69.23 |
| 01-02 23:19 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $69.23 |
| 01-02 04:58 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | SELL | 0.8 | $95.23 |
| 01-02 04:55 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $367.53 |
| 01-01 17:56 | Another Canada election called by June 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $503.84 |
| 01-01 10:36 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.63 | $398.13 |
| 01-01 10:32 | Trump out as President by March 31? | SELL | 0.9713027833 | $1.2k |
| 01-01 10:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.4k |
| 01-01 10:22 | Will Russia announce a Christmas truce? | SELL | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 12-30 16:23 | Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | BUY | 0.0345794327 | $5.00 |
| 12-28 16:53 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0149999996 | $40.00 |
| 12-27 16:26 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0149323891 | $50.00 |
| 12-27 16:25 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0139999998 | $60.00 |
| 12-27 14:26 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0170434014 | $55.34 |
| 12-27 14:24 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $100.00 |