PolyBot

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Traders

randomizer88

0x2f092f41ac754e6ca443755ae2d792fe3078d1d6

Realised P&L
$202.95
Volume
$232.6k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$203.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.004$177.78$547.36
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.002$25.69$184.29
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? · No0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? · No0.3660.000$0.00$295.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.4980.000$0.00$8.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? · No0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-02 23:20Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?BUY0.3893427065$69.23
01-02 23:19Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$69.23
01-02 04:58Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?SELL0.8$95.23
01-02 04:55Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.012$367.53
01-01 17:56Another Canada election called by June 30?SELL0.88$503.84
01-01 10:36Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.63$398.13
01-01 10:32Trump out as President by March 31?SELL0.9713027833$1.2k
01-01 10:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.95$1.4k
01-01 10:22Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?SELL0.9$200.00
12-30 16:23Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?BUY0.0345794327$5.00
12-28 16:53Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0149999996$40.00
12-27 16:26Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0149323891$50.00
12-27 16:25Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0139999998$60.00
12-27 14:26Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0170434014$55.34
12-27 14:24Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.017$100.00