PolyBot

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Traders

0x2f085e2f28c99612f7e0b241fd1124ed65271ac9

0x2f085e2f28c99612f7e0b241fd1124ed65271ac9

Realised P&L
$4.69
Volume
$58.34
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$11.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.38$1.95
09-28 05:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 30?BUY0.53$1.96
09-27 09:49Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29?BUY0.4881047382$1.96
09-27 08:16Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29?BUY0.58$1.96
09-27 06:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.44$1.95
09-27 05:56Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.53$1.96
09-27 03:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?BUY0.44$1.95
09-25 06:43Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26?BUY0.23$1.92
09-25 06:43Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.55$1.96
09-20 06:24Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?BUY0.33$1.94
09-20 06:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.53$1.96
09-19 05:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21?BUY0.55$1.96
09-18 11:07Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.39$0.98
09-16 08:43Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.49$0.98