honeyroasted
0x2efc9783c043b1c40f270321669367ddaeea5686
- Realised P&L
- $-919.91
- Volume
- $459.3k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $335.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.580Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$482.82at 0.290Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
- +$479.99at 0.510Will Indiana beat Northwestern by 14 or more points?
- +$309.81at 0.055Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$255.00at 0.635 Will Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 20:48 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.31 | $17.83 |
| 04-26 20:48 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.33 | $31.67 |
| 04-24 06:19 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.64 | $12.52 |
| 04-24 06:19 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.57 | $166.59 |
| 04-24 06:17 | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.54 | $15.75 |
| 04-18 07:32 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.55 | $33.00 |
| 03-16 01:31 | Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0029357595 | $2.74 |
| 03-15 23:24 | Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.23 |
| 03-15 23:19 | Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.06 |
| 03-15 23:19 | Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0049495968 | $4.91 |
| 03-15 23:18 | Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0055000092 | $5.98 |
| 03-15 23:15 | Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0059525617 | $7.53 |
| 03-15 23:15 | Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0067194245 | $1.87 |
| 03-15 23:15 | Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0208943655 | $2.10 |
| 03-15 23:14 | Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0204817323 | $6.11 |