edumerch
0x2efb931388d6684eff0b8f15df307f81dcf47f9b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.13
- Volume
- $147.60
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $29.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting? · No | 0.550 | 0.460 | $9.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.415 | $8.30 | −$2.70 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.220 | $4.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.320 | 0.305 | $4.36 | −$0.21 |
| Will Andrei Daescu / Christian Alshon advance to the Final in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.175 | $3.50 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.650Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.20at 0.740Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?
- +$0.20at 0.510Will Lacy Schneemann / Ting Chieh Wei advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
- +$0.20at 0.420Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?
- +$0.10at 0.500Will Tina Pisnik / Noe Khlif advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?