586348
0x2efadd28029077a6ff7362ef126ce1c651a4cb31
- Realised P&L
- $169.32
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $14.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $14.00 | −$126.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.44at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 22?
- +$35.90at 0.945Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?
- +$31.87at 0.976Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20?
- +$28.06at 0.955Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 18?
- +$26.64at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 12:58 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9879999997 | $15.41 |
| 03-21 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 22? | SELL | 0.987 | $119.89 |
| 03-21 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.9209999127 | $4.83 |
| 03-20 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22? | SELL | 0.95096 | $95.10 |
| 03-20 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $673.64 |
| 03-19 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20? | BUY | 0.989 | $217.73 |
| 03-19 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 21? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 03-19 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20? | SELL | 0.25 | $20.05 |
| 03-19 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 03-19 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.85 |
| 03-18 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20? | BUY | 0.969 | $131.78 |
| 03-18 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on March 21? | BUY | 0.9887275669 | $336.07 |
| 03-18 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $403.37 |
| 03-18 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20? | BUY | 0.978 | $39.12 |
| 03-18 02:47 | North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns | SELL | 0.48 | $10.16 |