PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aladingshending

0x2ef4a442947cdc334b6aed0f2c75f654f37a34a7

Realised P&L
$-154.99
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$5.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$3.39$8.61
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0700.009$2.43$17.57
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · B80.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2600.000$0.00$11.00
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$12.00
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$15.40
Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · NRG0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves0.2400.000$0.00$20.00
Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors0.2700.000$0.00$11.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.30
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 18:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
05-25 17:08Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.002$1.30
05-23 16:39Epstein client list released by June 30?BUY0.0557907804$12.00
05-23 16:38Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.041$3.69
05-20 12:03Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.005$1.00
05-20 12:03Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.006$1.30
05-20 12:03Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.005$2.00
05-18 20:11Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1000755604$9.00
05-18 20:09Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0699999969$20.00
05-18 19:56Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1908367811$50.00
05-13 20:40Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ABUY0.0699999939$10.00
05-11 19:44Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ABUY0.0899999919$10.00
05-07 01:57Timberwolves vs. SpursBUY0.2399999918$20.00
05-03 21:35Raptors vs. CavaliersBUY0.269999987$11.00
05-03 15:27Magic vs. PistonsBUY0.2599999844$11.00