PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Madgefgbd

0x2ef470b639a12d8df3001d4fb09da25982286eca

Realised P&L
$-54.23
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$18.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-14? · No0.7401.000$11.00+$2.86
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? · Yes0.5000.610$7.32+$1.32
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse · Tamara Korpatsch0.2400.000$0.00−$14.95
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$23.56
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00−$18.13
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.10
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5700.000$0.00−$19.95
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$7.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 08:34Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?BUY0.5$6.00
10-14 11:39Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.74$8.14
09-15 12:16AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.51$5.10
08-25 03:15Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5BUY0.57$19.95
08-18 08:24Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.66$19.80
08-10 12:25Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUY0.71$14.91
07-24 12:17Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?BUY0.62$23.56
06-30 08:00Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5BUY0.49$18.13
06-22 11:10Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.21$2.10
06-09 08:57Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela RuseBUY0.24$14.95
05-14 02:14Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.55$7.15
05-14 02:12Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?BUY0.56$19.38
05-06 01:45Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.997$41.87
05-06 01:45Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 4-10?BUY0.999$16.00
05-06 01:44Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.002$0.08