PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goshopping

0x2ef2f13f30e523197e9e66afa2f2620f02fbfaa5

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$730.7k
Markets traded
3,394
Open portfolio
$188.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,394
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24? · Yes0.5090.925$54.16+$24.35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.2880.245$32.03$5.63
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 25? · Yes0.0820.080$23.29$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.1840.150$9.66$2.18
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 24? · Yes0.1050.055$7.74$7.03
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.0450.054$7.74+$1.36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.0330.040$6.01+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24? · Yes0.0320.035$5.99+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 24? · Yes0.0170.018$5.09+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24? · Yes0.1600.160$4.85+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24? · Yes0.3000.410$4.56+$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.0540.090$4.50+$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 24? · Yes0.2200.220$4.40+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 24? · Yes0.0080.028$3.42+$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.2200.130$3.25$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 16:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.04$1.60
09-23 16:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.29$19.13
09-23 16:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.011$0.23
09-23 16:08Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.0163544726$1.82
09-23 16:03Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24?SELL0.71$7.10
09-23 16:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.001$0.40
09-23 15:59Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 24?SELL0.23$4.60
09-23 15:55Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 24?BUY0.0499193548$3.09
09-23 15:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.0182322553$0.84
09-23 15:50Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 24?BUY0.0102$0.26
09-23 15:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.0987995198$4.11
09-23 15:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.01$0.23
09-23 15:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.0080498446$1.00
09-23 15:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.22$5.50
09-23 15:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.16$4.85