SmillerCat
0x2ef0cf04e468cc8c6d74d6d57e2f3ec22620efb7
- Realised P&L
- $128.73
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.31at 0.006Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?
- +$42.00at 0.001Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.43at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
- +$13.73at 0.010Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
- +$11.60at 0.002Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 13:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-31 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.91 |
| 07-27 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.014 | $7.49 |
| 07-10 11:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |