iuk
0x2ef089071e9487d4a7c1008c49964ad74ba20f78
- Realised P&L
- $2.69
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $31.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $10.32 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.969 | $8.98 | −$0.10 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.920 | 0.885 | $7.13 | −$0.28 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.948 | 0.930 | $5.29 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.98at 0.825Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.964US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.947Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.930Netanyahu out by April 30?
- +$0.46at 0.952US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 06:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.979 | $7.93 |
| 08-21 01:58 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat? | BUY | 0.954 | $9.51 |
| 08-20 23:13 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.977 | $8.17 |
| 08-15 04:40 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.916 | $7.30 |
| 08-06 04:56 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.978 | $7.54 |
| 07-31 15:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.977 | $6.32 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $11.24 |
| 07-26 10:55 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.948 | $7.80 |
| 07-24 02:53 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9484889643 | $5.59 |
| 07-21 02:29 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.82 |
| 07-20 02:19 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.71 |
| 07-19 21:33 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.67 |
| 07-16 13:15 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.978 | $9.02 |
| 07-11 20:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.20 |
| 07-10 02:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.974 | $6.32 |