0x2eEC0EE068d0DbbA45cB766e06A309e69Ad83DE6-1783087539901
0x2eec0ee068d0dbba45cb766e06a309e69ad83de6
- Realised P&L
- $-9.95
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $1.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? · No | 0.906 | 0.946 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.037 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 89°F or 90°F? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.15at 0.160US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$2.80at 0.260US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$2.37at 0.128US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.257WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
- +$1.48at 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 23:05 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 23:04 | Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 89°F or 90°F? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.70 |
| 08-29 22:57 | Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | BUY | 0.905999942 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 07:03 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.912 | $1.17 |
| 06-19 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.27 |
| 06-19 07:03 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.97 |