0.x
0x2eeacee125b1a52325b6b3ce14af3e88c62d9e18
- Realised P&L
- $285.53
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $44.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.975 | $37.15 | +$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.901 | 0.085 | $7.21 | −$69.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.30at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$59.79at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$40.47at 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$32.12at 0.491Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$17.91at 0.632Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-20 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.25 |
| 09-20 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.26 |
| 09-20 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $17.23 |
| 09-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-20 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.61 |
| 09-20 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 09-20 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $35.00 |
| 09-20 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.89 | $28.76 |
| 09-20 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.96 |