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0x2ed8677876b6d15c9558d1528b1728ab057e23a7
- Realised P&L
- $-48.49
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $26.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.021 | $26.95 | −$65.08 |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes | 0.923 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.25at 0.975Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?
- +$6.17at 0.984Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?
- +$3.87at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?
- +$2.05at 0.940Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
- +$1.80at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 01:05 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.9868674625 | $37.90 |
| 08-03 06:26 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.06 | $13.33 |
| 07-09 08:03 | World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken? | BUY | 0.987 | $35.45 |
| 06-13 12:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.40 |
| 05-14 13:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $35.26 |
| 04-25 12:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.9929999736 | $35.02 |
| 03-13 01:36 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BUY | 0.9839999767 | $34.46 |
| 03-01 08:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.42 |
| 02-27 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 27? | BUY | 0.9989999832 | $34.39 |
| 02-25 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 25? | BUY | 0.995 | $34.22 |
| 02-05 01:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.11 |
| 01-10 05:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $32.07 |
| 12-29 08:59 | Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025? | BUY | 0.9909999858 | $31.78 |
| 12-05 11:29 | Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.9229999985 | $31.41 |
| 12-05 01:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5? | BUY | 0.9960653202 | $1.3k |