0x2ed2a05c08fe0d7a27098fe5bf79cf13ff386630
0x2ed2a05c08fe0d7a27098fe5bf79cf13ff386630
- Realised P&L
- $-442.58
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $27.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.320 | $27.87 | −$30.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.25at 0.783Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$48.04at 0.482Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$47.05at 0.839Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
- +$34.60at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$33.55at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999936 | $19.61 |
| 07-27 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999917 | $19.54 |
| 07-27 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999924 | $19.56 |
| 07-27 04:29 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $37.15 |
| 07-26 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999953 | $19.59 |
| 07-26 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.809999993 | $19.65 |
| 07-25 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999953 | $19.59 |
| 07-25 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7399772743 | $19.54 |
| 07-25 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $19.53 |
| 07-24 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5284678248 | $19.54 |
| 07-24 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $19.57 |
| 07-24 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999978 | $19.54 |
| 07-23 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $19.64 |
| 07-22 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999924 | $19.56 |
| 07-21 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999919 | $19.61 |